Investing Wisely
This Blog is designed for Serious Investors who are seeking Guidance and Direction in the Profitable -Management of their Securities Investments.
If you are a Trader, daily, weekly or even monthly, I suggest you find a different Blog to Follow.
Just Scroll Down (Very Briefly) to my ( Lastest ) Commentaries
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I offer - Six Steps you may want to follow and become acquainted with my work / analytics before scrolling down to my on going Commentary. My mission is being consistently Profitable or in Cash while offering you Guidance and Direction in "Investing Wisely."
This Blog is supported by two other Financial Sites that are Required for you to have a Complete Handle (Understanding) of my Work / Analytics:
#1. The first is StockCharts -- PublicList. By reviewing my updates you will have very clear graphic and narritive guidance and direction on how I go about making money for my Clients consistently year over year. Please do not try to use this information and data without contacting me. This URL will take you through a few Charts / Graphics for better understanding.
http://stockcharts.com/public/1616666 - - Just Click
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#2. The second is my rather frequent series of Articles I write for SafeHaven.com. There are many articles in my Archive over the past years. Here is one that will provide much support for my Methodology and how I go about making money for my Clients consistently. I no longer write Articles for SeekingAlpha.com
http://www.safehaven.com/article/27820/special-notes-supporting-my-articles - - Just Click
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#3. It takes a bit of work on your part to become familiar with my Methodology of "Investing Wisely." In both StockCharts - PublicList and my SafeHaven.com Articles I offer both: a) Specific High Profile Companies and ETFs and b) Anonymous Recommendations that require a "Key" to know the Name of the Security.
You should quickly catch on and be able to benefit as to how I Forecast and how I make Recommendations with unrivaled Accuracy. My Forecasts are well over 90% profitable. Before I take the time to Forecast I do a lot of IDing. That is my word for constantly pouring through my large universe of Companies and ETFs. I have developed screening or scanning methods that quickly separate the wheet from the chaff - so to speak.
So, each day I am building my Bullish - Buy List and my Bearish - Short-Sell List. Weekly I separate or Cherry Pick to keep my Lists manageable.
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#4. I provide you a weekly flow of specific Securities / ETFs with a very Low -- Risk / Reward factor that also have the highest possible profitablity probability. This uses My Rotation Model which is one of the several Articles mentioned in the URL noted in #2 above:
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#5. My Clients receive at least two communications per week. Saturday morning I write a Market Wrap and Sunday morning I write a simple Market Up Date. My Market Wrap reviews the 6 of 22 Indices, 12 Sectors, 3 Financials and Commodities such as Gold / Silver / Crude Oil. If you would like a copy, just ask.
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#6. If you are a Serious Investor and are Seeking Consistent and Meaningful Annual Profits - - - Send Me An Email to get Acquainted. You will receive a prompt reply directly from me and invitations to begin an Email Dialog.
senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com - - Just Click
All this means I am for hire as Your Personal - Asset Manager or Consultant
I expect to receive compensation for my 50 years of experience of managing assets, that is on balance, VERY Profitable.
Upon receipt of your interest, we can easily determine (via Email) your financial needs, goals and objectives and then provide you with a fair and equatible fee for my on going support and guidance.
Upon receipt of your interest, we can easily determine (via Email) your financial needs, goals and objectives and then provide you with a fair and equatible fee for my on going support and guidance.
You might want to see a sample of my (Saturday and Sunday) Weekly, transmittals to Clients - just ask.
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If you would like further information about me, my objectives for writing SeekingAlpha.com and SafeHaven.com articles, and my professional services and fees.
( I have written well over 100 Articles for both SeekingAlpha.com and SafeHaven.com. )
If you would like to ask personal or specific questions of me or share thoughts - Just Send Me An Email. No Cost, No Obligation / No Fool-in !
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Just Scroll Down (Very Briefly) to my ( Lastest ) Commentaries
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For the Conservative - Pro-Active -- Short to Intermediate - Term Serious / Retired Investor:
For Over 50 years, I have - fought with the Bulls and; wrestled with the Bears !
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Commentary
Important Notes:
Note I: I want to make very clear the my Commentary is solely my opinion of the current and perhaps forecasts of the General Stock Market, Economy and other related subjects. Your making and investment decisions based on this information, as you understand my writings, is entirely at your risk. I have made this statement many times in the past and will leave this disclaimer in place for the future. Clients are no exception to the above statement.
Note I: I want to make very clear the my Commentary is solely my opinion of the current and perhaps forecasts of the General Stock Market, Economy and other related subjects. Your making and investment decisions based on this information, as you understand my writings, is entirely at your risk. I have made this statement many times in the past and will leave this disclaimer in place for the future. Clients are no exception to the above statement.
Note II: With - My very accurate calls of the 1999 and 2007 General Market Bear Market ( and several Bear and Bull Markets preceding those two ) - - you should know that Commodities, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil were hurt within those previous Bear Markets as well as meaningful Pull Backs. They are already a current ‘hurt’ ( in this Bear Market Cycle – see my comments for each for accuracy and details as to dates. ) and the hurt will soon turn to severe pain – once again.
Note III: Sectors / Industry Groups / Asset Classes like Commodities, Treasuries and U. S. Dollar (Currency) often move inversely to the General Market – but – not always ! I strongly stress the previous two words: “NOT ALWAYS.” They also often present an entirely different picture than what one would expect – from the propaganda ( BS ) presented to you by the Financial Industry and the forever misleading U. S. Media.
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About My -- Forecasts / Accuracy / Confirmations / Recommendations:
I am a former Asset Manager that is continuing to Blog, because I believe I have something unique and profitable to share. I am seeking new Clients for my ‘Boutique’ Asset Management Firm and would appreciate and encourage your inquiry.
As for “Conformations” -- Some 40 years ago I developed a Methodology that has produced many profitable investment / asset management decisions. Today’s Marketplace has required a number of modifications to adjust to the “Traders” concept of investing their money. I believe if you understand that I am using the below mentioned Indices / Sectors / Commodities and other Asset Classes to demonstrate a competence in assisting you in the management of your assets.
Simple said: "Investing Wisely" in all Securities / Asset Classes is a very similar task. I would like to be of help to you, so let me know when you think we (You and I) might be a winning / profitable team.
Commentary by Subject and Date:
Simple said: "Investing Wisely" in all Securities / Asset Classes is a very similar task. I would like to be of help to you, so let me know when you think we (You and I) might be a winning / profitable team.
Commentary by Subject and Date:
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Monday - Sectors and Industry Group Status -- May 20th:
Important: The Ratio remains Bullish at: 94%.
It is not prudent to take Bullish Positions at this time. Bearish Candidates for Shorting abound but do not take the hook just yet. That means go to or stay in Cash.
Bearish Sector Focus: Basic Materials / Technology / Utilities. These as always require Highly Selective Analytics as to "WHAT" Companies or Inverse ETFs to invest in and "WHEN" to do so. I have my Lists of Companies and Inverse ETFs are you also prepared to turn Bearish when the time arrives?
Saturday - Commentary -- May 18th:
Yes, ‘the future is better than you think’ ... if you’re in denial.
I know of no souce where a "Reality Check" is being made with the state of the world economies and the resulting stock markets -- Bullish / Bearish Cycling. There are thousands of Blogs and NONE of them do what I am sharing.
The first thing I do is Make Money.
The last thing I do is give your Bull Shit.
My Forecast are accurate and my Recommendations are profitable.
Saturday - Market Wrap -- May 18th:
Up again and pushing the upper limits of my proprietory Indicators in StockCharts - PublicList.
I also sent my Morning version of Saturday - Market Wrap to Clients.
Want a copy? Just ask.
Thursday - If you don't believe it - WHY do you lose money? -- May 16th:
I read this article and liked it. It tells the truth based on fact not opinon.
Facts make you money. Bloggers / Financial Analysts / Stock Brokers lose you money.
Independent research, facts and doing your homework will reward you consistently.
Please read this URL:
http://articles.marketwatch.com/2013-05-15/commentary/39258948_1_brain-investors-dark-shadows
Thursday - Update on Selected Countries -- May 16th:
The BRICK Countries are: (often thought of Emerging Countries)
China / India remain strong and are definitely a Hold for the foreseeable future.
Russia has been in a Down-Trend since mid - 2011. It has recovered in recent weeks but that is very likely setting up for another Pull-Back. Do not own or buy!
Brazil Topped-Out in late - 2010 and remains under pressure. Do now own or buy!
Note: This "Divergence" is a perfect example of how all Companies and ETFs work. Some are Winners and some are Losers. To know how to determine the difference and for a further explanation please feel free to contact me. Also please read the above introduction to my Commentaries.
See ya - Saturday . . .
Wednesday - Update -- May 15th:
Nothing seems to stop this Rally but believe me you should be taking selective profits. That remark has been true for many, many months now.
Shorting is out of the question at this time. Yes, I agree that many Companies and a few ETFs are very Bearish. Bucking the trend of the General Market or even a Sector is not investing your money wisely.
Follow me and you will find how accurate my Forecasts and Postings are.
Saturday - Market Wrap -- May 11th:
Important: The Ratio remains Bullish at: 94%.
It is not prudent to take Bullish Positions at this time. Bearish Candidates for Shorting abound but do not take the hook just yet. That means go to or stay in Cash.
Bearish Sector Focus: Basic Materials / Technology / Utilities. These as always require Highly Selective Analytics as to "WHAT" Companies or Inverse ETFs to invest in and "WHEN" to do so. I have my Lists of Companies and Inverse ETFs are you also prepared to turn Bearish when the time arrives?
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Saturday - Commentary -- May 18th:
Yes, ‘the future is better than you think’ ... if you’re in denial.
I know of no souce where a "Reality Check" is being made with the state of the world economies and the resulting stock markets -- Bullish / Bearish Cycling. There are thousands of Blogs and NONE of them do what I am sharing.
The first thing I do is Make Money.
The last thing I do is give your Bull Shit.
My Forecast are accurate and my Recommendations are profitable.
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Saturday - Market Wrap -- May 18th:
Up again and pushing the upper limits of my proprietory Indicators in StockCharts - PublicList.
I also sent my Morning version of Saturday - Market Wrap to Clients.
Want a copy? Just ask.
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Thursday - If you don't believe it - WHY do you lose money? -- May 16th:
I read this article and liked it. It tells the truth based on fact not opinon.
Facts make you money. Bloggers / Financial Analysts / Stock Brokers lose you money.
Independent research, facts and doing your homework will reward you consistently.
Please read this URL:
http://articles.marketwatch.com/2013-05-15/commentary/39258948_1_brain-investors-dark-shadows
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Thursday - Update on Selected Countries -- May 16th:
The BRICK Countries are: (often thought of Emerging Countries)
China / India remain strong and are definitely a Hold for the foreseeable future.
Russia has been in a Down-Trend since mid - 2011. It has recovered in recent weeks but that is very likely setting up for another Pull-Back. Do not own or buy!
Brazil Topped-Out in late - 2010 and remains under pressure. Do now own or buy!
Note: This "Divergence" is a perfect example of how all Companies and ETFs work. Some are Winners and some are Losers. To know how to determine the difference and for a further explanation please feel free to contact me. Also please read the above introduction to my Commentaries.
See ya - Saturday . . .
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Wednesday - Update -- May 15th:
Nothing seems to stop this Rally but believe me you should be taking selective profits. That remark has been true for many, many months now.
Shorting is out of the question at this time. Yes, I agree that many Companies and a few ETFs are very Bearish. Bucking the trend of the General Market or even a Sector is not investing your money wisely.
Follow me and you will find how accurate my Forecasts and Postings are.
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Saturday - Market Wrap -- May 11th:
I just sent my Saturday morning -- Market Wrap to my Asset Management and Advisory Clients.
It is a particularly juicy and comprehensive of specific Forecasts.
To be added to my list of Followers who would like a copy please send me a request as described in my Thursday Posting.
Thursday - Update on Selected Countries -- May 9th:
The U.S. Market is taking a breather today after a continuation of registering new highs this week. The - TOP - is still some days or weeks ahead of us and making Bearish investments at this time is not Investing your money Wisely.
I suggest that there well could be a coincidence between the Japanese Market and the U.S. Market topping in the same time frame. Both have come way too far, way too fast!
This coming Saturday I will be sending my very comprehensive Saturday Morning - Market Wrap, as usual to my Asset Management Clients. To receive a one-time free-bee copy, I will need your Email address and a brief introduction of yourself and your investment objectives.
See ya - Saturday.
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Saturday - Update -- May 4th:
This Saturday I would like to introduce you to my two Indice Indicators I publish in StockChart - Public List:
This Inflection Point - Count Indicator is a longer-term Leading Indicator. It has never given a false signal but it requires much Patience and Discipline. It is current testing MY patience and discipline more than ever before.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p38402133882&a=270034212
This Momentum Indicator is deadly accurate.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$COMPQ&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p13548994916&a=300139935
Both will require some study so take your time and I believe you will be rewarded for doing so.
Posting -- May 3, 2013
Current Margin Debt (originally posted o May 3, 2013)
There is a definition about positive and negative net worth. It should be clear that if you have more money borrowed than cash assets you have negative net worth.
Within the margin structure there have been occasions when the cash in the brokerage account is less than the amount under margin (borrowed). That occurred in 2000 - 2002, 2007 - 2008, and Now - 2013.
Corresponding the SP – 500 (not my favorite Indice) reached (Near Similar 1550+) peaks, all in the current range in each of the above mentioned Bear Market Topping years, including Now - 2013. That’s Ominous!
Bear Markets then occurred as follows:
In 2000 thru 2002 (23 months) there was a Loss of 50.5% in the SP 500 and a Drop in the Nasdaq of 77.6%.
In 2008 (14 months) there was a Loss of 57.7% in the SP 500 and a Drop in the Nasdaq of 55.7%.
Now - 2013 – My Forecast Bear Market???
Just so you know and for the record. I called both the above Bear Markets. I also identified, very accurately all Bull Market Bottoms and Bear Market Peaks from 1959 through 2000 when I retired.
Yes – I Will Continue to Update and Add More – Support for My Bearish Position. . .
If you would like a copy of my Weekly Published (Exclusive to My Clients) -- Saturday - Market Wrap which includes a Comprehensive review of my Economic and Fundamental Support for My Bearish Position just send me an Email.
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Update and Commentary for Monday - very early in the morning hours -- April 29th:
This guy is so - right-on and the General Public and certainly Investor don't have a Clue!
Please listen to this at least twice or more: URL -- http://www.safehaven.com/article/29625/langone-on-bloomberg-tv-i-love-jamie-dimon
If you will plug-in to my work / analytics, I can vertually guarantee you can beat what Washington Politics is doing to you. I too am an old geaser but my kids are getting the shaft.
I hope you will follow me . . .
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Update and Commentary for Sunday - morning -- April 28th:
( This will be my standard month ending format. Each week or more often, I will Update this Commentary. I invite your thoughts, and questions )
General Comments:
The Market is setting Investors up for another hurtful time frame - perhaps worse than 2008 and 1999 - 2001! Investors will be blind-sided along with the ever optimistic Asset Managers of Funds and Financial Analysts who are both paid to be perineally Bullish. Investors do not remember their previous HURT and often have their heads in the sand.
It (the Market) is Very Over-Bought, Valuations are Too High; Interest Rates are on the Rise; Investor Sentiment is Totally out of Reason / Reality; The Economy is Much Worse than you are being told.
I am Bearish and have been for quite a time. I called the Apple, Inc. high in September and many other supposedly high-quality Companies since that time-frame.
I hope you will want to Follow and Participate in my Work / Analytics.
State of the Indices / Sectors / Commodities:
You can get a very accurate graphic of my work on the Indices by clicking on:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p38402133882&a=270034212
and
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$COMPQ&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p13548994916&a=300139935
These two principle Indices tell the story very well. I use a rather complex Quantitative measure of these Indices, and the Leading (advanced forecasts they provide) is historically very accurate. I hope you will follow my work / analytics sufficiently to see the benefit of their contributing to quest of providing very profitable investment advice to those who are interested.
With regard to my select - Sectors and Commodities, you request a current copy of my Saturday - Market Wrap, which reviews and forecasts in detail all my Sectors and my key Commodities. You will have to request this by Email, and I will promptly send you a current copy of the same "Wrap" I provide weekly to my Clients and Select Prospective Clients.
This work / analytics has been deadly accurate for a very long time!
My Current Opinion of My Fundamental and Technical Analytics:
All remains the same as for the past several weeks. The dynamics of this Bearish Top are nearly non-existent. It is a controlled Market environment that will indeed pass, but your Patience will be exhausted by the time it does! Most agree with me, there has been little or no money made for more than several weeks if you are a Bull. This is confirmed by Indice ETFs and most Growth Fund statistics.
Selective Holding is currently dangerous. Look at the Dow 30 Components. Few have gone up, and many are sideways to down. If that is not ominous, you and I are looking at very different data and honest information that are produced by several reliable services.
I hope you like my Blog(s) and contributions. I would appreciate your feedback. Please understand the sole purpose of these Blog(s) is to Solicit New Clients.
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""INVESTING WISELY" - IS - SERIOUS STUFF"
I welcome your questions and I will correspond with you personally, my opinions, forecasts and some initial guidance and direction for your portfolio. I sincerely want your following and will go way out of my way to share what I can for your understanding of my work / analytics, on going profits and financial piece of mind.
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Mine is a high personalized Financial Services Company. It is simply an "alternative and very profitable way to invest you money." It uses my rather complex Methodology that has served both myself and my Clients very well for over 50 years. Communicate with me, for a time, and it ( My Methodology ) will soon become quite simple and profitable -- I promise!
So ask questions, remember - most assumptions in the Marketplace are often very wrong!
Note: For those of you who wish to contact me with your questions and/or comments please use the below Email address. I will likely request some very basic information as a means of getting acquainted and then offer what I can to be of help - making you some money.
So ask questions, remember - most assumptions in the Marketplace are often very wrong!
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Note: For those of you who wish to contact me with your questions and/or comments please use the below Email address. I will likely request some very basic information as a means of getting acquainted and then offer what I can to be of help - making you some money.
My Email Address: senorstevedrmx@
yahoo.com
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Keep Smiling, have Fun - "Investing Wisely".
Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.
